Does anyone agree with me that Indiana is a must win primary for both candidates?
It seems to me Obama must win this state because:
A. Reverend Wright’s big(ot)gest hits tour has put so much renewed pressure on Obama’s campaign.
B. Obama must disprove the emerging perception among the media and his detractors after Ohio and Pennsylvania that he cannot win enough white, working class voters to win rust belt states.
C. Obama needs a two state sweep on May 6 to put an end to Clinton’s renewed momentum in the race.
The reasons Clinton must win are obvious: Obama’s lead (particularly in delegates) is such that she cannot afford to lose many more states – But, to her credit; Her campaign has been on the verge of elimination all month and has continually held on with her back against the wall.
It also appears the popular vote should shake out VERY close in this thing; And Indiana could prove the decisive margin. It also puts enormous pressure on both campaigns that Obama himself called it a “tie-breaker” and James Carville (Clinton camp) a “must win”…
Yes, but it is too late for obama, Hillary will win in that state
Yes.
Make or break for the Democrats.
Well, Obama still has a significant lead in N. Carolina. The tight race in Indiana would be a definite boost to him, especially on the heels of Rev. Wright’s self agrandizement tour.
Whoever wins Indiana will hail it as a groundbreaking victory. You can believe that!
Obama 2008
Hillary needs the win to increase (or gain depending on how you do the math) the popular vote lead which is the argument she will make to the super delegates (so they can vote for her as the will of the people).
ABM does not need a win because he is firmly ahead in the delegate count and will finish with the elected delegate lead even if Hillary won every primary left.
Obama is the most likely nominee and will insure us a McCain presidency and return of control of both houses to the republicans. A shame the media didn’t ask any questions until over half the states had voted.
Yet they still don’t cover any real issues like how many republicans voted against Hillary (not for Obama) in the democrat primaries.
Psi
No. It really does not have enough delegates and the margin looks to be so close that really both the winner and loser will claim they made good showing.
North Caroline on the other hand – If Hillary is going to convince the supers at all to seeing her way this is where it would be. The gap has closed just as it did with her leading Obama in Pennsylvania. If she could pull out that one – unlikely – but if she could – that might be the momentum she needs.
Obama is still in the lead and has a week for damage control and then we will see. If he wins North Carolina (and he should) then it is pretty much his ball game.
No. Because before all this Rev. Wright controversy came up. The analysis on TV said Hillary will must win Indiana and Barack will win North Carolina.
Vote Barack!!